The Simple Setup That Made Lance Breitstein Millions: Trend, Capitulation, and Controlled Chaos
If trading were poker, Lance Breitstein would be the guy who folds quietly for hours — then suddenly goes all-in with aces when the perfect storm hits. In one such moment, he made seven figures in a single day. Not with a complex quant model. Not with insider info. Not even with dozens of trades. Just one clean, brutal, high-conviction setup: a capitulation fade after multi-timeframe trend exhaustion, with textbook VWAP behavior. Let’s break down what Lance did — and how you can think like a sniper, not a soldier.
First, Know the Context: Multi-Timeframe Confluence “The countertrend becomes more powerful when these trends are aligning on multiple timeframes.” Translation: Lance wasn’t just looking at a 5-minute chart. He was watching the daily, the hourly, and the intraday align like tectonic plates before an earthquake. Why this matters: A trend on the 5-min chart means little if the daily is in chop. A stock pressing new highs on the 1-min might be just bouncing inside a bigger downtrend. Multi-timeframe confluence = confirmation + confidence.
Rule #1: Never Long Below VWAP (Unless…) “I’ll never be long if a stock is steadily holding below VWAP — unless it capitulates.” This is vintage Breitstein. The VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) acts like the center of gravity. Below it? The sellers are in control. Above it? Buyers. But the exception? Capitulation. When the stock panic-dumps far below VWAP in a panic puke, that’s when Lance shifts from trend-following to countertrend. Think of it like this: Normal drift below VWAP? Avoid longs. Sudden emotional breakdown under VWAP? Opportunity is brewing.
The Setup: Capitulation + Skewed Sentiment = A+ Trade “When everyone’s being liquidated, when everyone’s scared, that leaves everything so skewed the other way…” This is where Lance strikes.
Here’s what he’s waiting for: A stock trending down across all timeframes. VWAP acting as a ceiling. A final panic flush that forces everyone out. And suddenly — the order book dries up. The bounce is violent, fast, and entirely emotional. This isn’t technical analysis — it’s order flow psychology. Lance isn’t buying dips. He’s buying massive fear.
The Checklist: Breitstein’s A+ Setup Here’s how to spot the kind of setup Lance made millions from:
Multi-timeframe alignment (downtrend on daily, 15m, 5m)
VWAP rejection throughout the session
Emotional panic flush (capitulation candle)
Sudden reversal signs: trapped shorts, huge volume spike
Liquidity vacuum: buyers step in, shorts cover, price rips
Risk defined, reward outsized
What This Looks Like in Real Life Imagine a stock opens weak and grinds down all morning. VWAP acts like a brick wall. Then… At 1:45 PM, bad news drops. The stock plunges 6% in 3 minutes. Volume explodes. Tape gets whippy. Chatrooms scream. Sellers are exhausted. Lance buys the snapback. It rips 4% in 10 minutes. You don’t need to predict. You need to prepare for these moments.
Mindset Matters: Why Most Traders Miss This Most retail traders: Try to catch falling knives before the flush. Buy every dip hoping for a reversal. Get chopped up or scared out too early. Lance? Waits until the structure breaks and everyone else is forced out. Has clear criteria for risk, size, and confirmation. Attacks with size only when everything lines up. He’s not playing more often. He’s playing better hands.
Key Takeaways VWAP is your north star: Don’t long below it without extreme context. Capitulation isn’t a breakdown — it’s a setup. Alignment matters: Multi-timeframe trends give conviction. Fear = fuel: When others panic, opportunity spikes. Size selectively: Save your bullets for A+ trades, not every squiggle.
Final Word: Stop Scalping, Start Sniping Lance didn’t make millions by being fast. He made it by being patient, precise, and deadly calm in chaos. You don’t need 20 setups a day. You need one setup you understand deeply, sized correctly, and executed with conviction. Be like Lance. Wait. Watch. Then strike hard when the market breaks down — and everyone else breaks with it.
